Real Time Crime Forecasting Challenge

Real Time Crime Forecasting Challenge: Post-Mortem Analysis Challenge Performance
National Institute of Justice
Team Conduent Public Safety Solutions
Real Time Crime Forecasting Cover

Our mission is to highlight fact based, yet often unintuitive, actionable insights.

Some of the analytical features used for the challenge include (1) Clustering of law enforcement agencies with similar patterns of crimes, effectively peer ranking predictive models, (2) benchmarking of agencies based on relevant Key Performance Indicators, (3) identifying the most important domain-relevant attributes (such demographics, functional nature of the city, etc.) that influence the crime patterns of the regions, (4) hotspot prediction to forecast the time and type of the next likely crime event.

In this document we provide the technical details of the last feature to provide context to our methods, i.e., the hotspot prediction.